Friday, November 28, 2014

Weekend update 11/28/2014

Black Friday closed with ominous note: Breath deteriorated substantially and sentiment turned even more defensive. The backdrop for the turbulence is the plunge oil price the directly hurts energy sector and related high yield bonds. The high yield dropped and treasuries rose. The continuing divergence between the high yield and treasuries is the most dangerous alarm of rising risk aversion that is yet to affect the large cap stocks. Other divergences:



Against the breath weakness across variety of assets, Friday also showed a sharp move in treasuries that has previously indicated near term weakness in stocks:


All indications point to weakness in the coming week.



No comments:

Post a Comment