Thursday, April 30, 2015

Tight employment - FED yield normalization ahead

Wage inflation is picking up:

Record job openings
Record job openings

Unemployment claims at pre-recession low
Unemployment claims at pre-recession low

Wage cost up 2.6% yoy
Wage cost up 2.6% yoy
Wage inflation is the most important forward looking inflation measure. FED surely is keeping a close eye on this. If the trend continues, 0% interest rates will soon be history.

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